The Third Oil Shock: Why the Strait of Hormuz Crisis is Hitting the UK Economy Harder
04/04/2026 by Tony Redondo Next time you hear the Government blame energy prices on an overseas crisis or accuse retailers of price gauging, remember these figures. With no tax/VAT, unleaded petrol would retail at 76p/litre and diesel at 101p/litre as opposed to the current full pump price of 155p/litre for unleaded and 185p/litre for diesel. […]
UK Economic Outlook 2026: Why Stagflation Fears and 18-Year High Gilt Yields Have Sparked Recession Warnings
28/03/2026 by Tony Redondo The overarching theme this week is the return of stagflation fears, with the UK economy navigating a “perfect storm” of geopolitical energy shocks and deteriorating domestic data. On 19 March, the BoE (Bank of England) voted unanimously to hold the base rate at 3.75%. The minutes of that meeting were far […]
Most AI risk is created when boards fail to distinguish between deterministic systems they control, generative systems they influence, and agentic systems that increasingly act on their behalf.
19/03/2026 by Anthony Silver of Talent Recognition Why the Term “AI” Is Nonsense In 2010, just 261 electric vehicles were sold in the UK. My brother bought one. It was a Reva G-Wiz. It was not really a car so much as a quadricycle. Last year, one in every four cars sold in the UK […]
Is the UK Heading for Stagflation in 2026? GDP Stagnation, Oil Prices and the Ghost of Adam Smith
14/03/2026 by Tony Redondo The UK economy endured a flat start to 2026, unexpectedly stagnating in January and disappointing market expectations of a 0.2% rise, according to the ONS (Office for National Statistics). A small rise in construction output was offset by a decline in industrial activity amid zero services output growth. The BoE’s (Bank […]
Why Is the Pound Rising in March 2026? Iran Conflict, Oil Prices, and Bank of England Rate Cuts Explained
07/03/2026 by Tony Redondo Currency Exchange Rates Update In February, the Pound managed to rise against only 8% of the 50+ most traded currencies around the globe. The markets had priced in an 86% of a March interest rate cut by the BoE (Bank of England) with the expectation of another 2-3 cuts in 2026 […]
Beyond the Spring Statement: Why State Power and Regulation are Stifling UK Productivity
28/02/2026 by Tony Redondo Is It Me, Or Are the 1920s Calling? Mark Twain is reputed to have said that “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” Right now, the echoes of the 1920s are growing louder and unless we change course, we could well repeat the complacency of the 1930s too. Consider the […]
Policy Volatility and the Pound: Does the UK Government Have a Long-Term Economic Vision?
21/02/2026 by Tony Redondo This week, Keir Starmer announced his government’s fifteenth major policy reversal in the 19 months since taking power in July 2024. The government has shelved plans to postpone local elections for 30 English councils originally scheduled for May. A spokesperson for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government stated, “Providing […]
Is the UK a “Welfare State with a Bankrupt Country Attached”? 2026 Economic Analysis
14/02/2026 by Tony Redondo The UK’s economic landscape is currently defined by a precarious balance between a burgeoning welfare system and stagnant growth, leading the CSJ (Centre for Social Justice) to warn that the nation risks becoming a “welfare state with a bankrupt country attached.” Their analysis reveals a startling reality: over six million working […]
Make People Want to Work: A Systems Thinking Playbook for UK Productivity
04/02/2026by Stephen W Walker of Welcome, Motivation Matters Britain’s productivity problem is not a puzzle, nor is it a sudden crisis that appeared out of nowhere. It is the predictable outcome of systems that don’t flow, leadership habits that don’t scale, organisational rhythms that don’t reinforce performance, and management approaches that focus more on firefighting […]
Can Defence Spending Save the UK Economy? Andy Haldane’s Bold New Growth Strategy
31/01/2026 by Tony Redondo Andy Haldane, the former Chief Economist of the BoE (Bank of England) and current head of the BCC (British Chambers of Commerce), has issued a pointed critique regarding the Labour Party’s economic competence. In a recent interview with LBC, Haldane argued that the party suffers from a fundamental lack of private-sector […]