Kakistocracy

21 December 2024 by Tony Redondo For this last Gravitational Pull blog of the year, I thank the Economist magazine for their word of the year for 2024, Kakistocracy. A kakistocracy is a government run by the worst, least qualified, or most unscrupulous citizens. The word was coined as early as the seventeenth century. Currency […]
UK on recession watch

14 December 2024 by Tony Redondo Britain has been placed âon recession watchâ after the economy shrank for the second month in a row in October. In the month where Labour marked its first 100 days in office, Britainâs dominant services sector showed no growth, and both the production and construction industries contracted. UK GDP […]
French (r)evolutionÂ

7 December 2024 by Tony Redondo The French government led by chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier fell last week after losing a vote of no confidence in parliament. Franceâs oldest prime minister also became its shortest-lived. With the French parliament split three ways, the chances of any decisive changes to policy in any direction are […]
Recession risk as Britain reels from Reevesâs BudgetÂ

30 November 2024 by Tony Redondo Economists have sounded the alarm over the possibility of a UK recession in 2025 after data showed Britainâs economy was reeling from the effects of Rachel Reevesâs tax-raising Budget. A closely watched survey, the PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) showed activity among the UKâs private sector companies shrank for the […]
Itâs a clear thumbs downÂ

23 November 2024 by Tony Redondo We have our first economic data indicators on how Rachel Reevesâ budget impacted on the UK economy and itâs not looking good. Growth in the private sector is falling, and the verdict is a clear thumbs down. Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence said âThe […]
Weâre all doomed!Â

16 November 2024 by Tony Redondo Just over four months into the first Labour government for nearly 15 years, some would say the immortal words of Private James Frazer “We’re doomed, we’re al’ doomed” are apt. Starmerâs Labour inherited the fastest growing economy in the G7 in July. We now learn that the UK economy […]
Trump Triumphs

11 November 2024 by Tony Redondo Donald Trump decisively won the US Presidential election, winning both the electoral college and the popular vote on 5 November. In addition, his Republican party took control of the Senate and is on course for a clean sweep in the US elections as they only need another eight out […]
Labourâs Budget Full of Economic WoeÂ

04 November 2024 by Tony Redondo In a speech delivered inside 10 Downing Street after Labourâs 4 July general election victory, Keir Starmer declared that growth and wealth creation were his governmentâs top priorities. However, new Chancellor Rachel Reeves replaced a picture of former Chancellor Nigel Lawson in her 11 Downing Street office with one […]
Itâs Budget TimeÂ

26 October 2024 by Tony Redondo Ever since Labourâs election victory on the 4th of July, there has been intense speculation about their first budget and endless announcements from PM Keir Starmer and his top team about the need for âdifficult decisionsâ and âtough choicesâ. Finally, for better or for worse, we are now just […]
UK descends into an atmosphere of gloom

Barely 2-months after the UK general election, with the Pound Sterling still riding high against the Euro and the US Dollar, an âatmosphere of gloomâ has descended on the UK 6 weeks out from the new Labour governmentâs first Budget, due to be delivered by Chancellor Rachel Reeves on 30 October. Currency Exchange Rates Update: […]