The Dollar bombs

8 March 2025  by Tony Redondo  Currency Exchange Rates Update  The Trump administration’s Hokey Cokey ‘Tariffs on, tariffs off’ decisions are creating ever more uncertainty  and taking their toll on the financial markets.   It’s far too early to even suggest the US dollar’s status as a safe-haven asset and reserve currency is under  serious threat […]

Tariffs

01 March 2025  by Tony Redondo  There has been much activity in the first weeks of Donald Trump’s second term as President, but one subject  has dominated above all, tariffs. Trump has so far announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from the EU, Canada and Mexico. There is no start date […]

Pound up despite UK ‘doom-loop’

23 February 2025  by Tony Redondo  David Smith in the Sunday Times says the economy is at risk of entering a “doom loop” where weak growth  necessitates further tax hikes.  The UK economy is experiencing sluggish growth. The OBR (Office for Budget Responsibility) is forecasting  a potential increase in the tax burden to 36.4% of […]

German Fallout

15 February 2025  by Tony Redondo  The German federal elections are scheduled for next Sunday, 23 February and the betting is that Friedrich  Merz, leader of the CDU (Christian Democratic Union) will be the new chancellor. If the AfD (Alternative for  Germany) gets into government, it will be a big political shock in by far […]

UK on stagflation watch

08 February 2025  by Tony Redondo  As widely expected, the BoE (Bank of England) cut interest rates for the third time in six months last week by  0.25% to 4.5% and confirmed flat economic growth up until the end of 2024. The BoE then went ‘off script’ with a new forecast for inflation of 3.7% […]

Brexit or Brino? 

01 February 2025  by Tony Redondo  Four years since Brexit officially took effect on 31 January 2021, the UK’s departure from the EU remains a  divisive topic. Some argue that what we have is closer to Brino (Brexit in Name Only) due to the continued  influence of EU regulations in certain areas. Others claim Brexit […]

One millionaire has left the UK every 45  minutes 

25 January 2025  by Tony Redondo  One millionaire has left the UK every 45 minutes, an increase of 157% since Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour Party  won the general election. In 2024, the UK has lost 10,800 millionaires overseas, more than double the number  in 2023 according to figures compiled by analytics firm New World Wealth […]

The return of Trump 

18 January 2025  by Tony Redondo  This Monday is a US national holiday (Martin Luther King Day) and the inauguration in Washington DC of  Donald Trump as the 47th POTUS (President of the United States).   Currency Exchange Rates Update  The Pound Sterling was the best performing G10 currency in the first half of 2024 and […]

Back to 1976 

11 January 2025  by Tony Redondo  What a first full week of the new year. The speed and extent of the moves in the financial markets may have  drawn comparisons with the fallout from Liz Truss’s mini-budget in October 2022 but according to former BoE  (Bank of England) interest rate setter Martin Weale and others, […]

Welcome to Two Thousand and Twenty Thrive 

04 January 2025  by Tony Redondo  Happy New Year everyone.  As this is my first blog of the year, I am determined to start on a positive note so here are several reasons to  be cheerful about 2025: –  – The Pound Sterling was 2024’s Second-best Performing G10 Currency.  – Bank of England Governor Andrew […]